October 8 Stock Market Preview: Indices breached key support to the downside across the board, though barely. The VIX has strongly breached the 17-level, perhaps giving the more concerning signal regarding a possible larger spike right around the corner. While we’re still in “buy-the-dip” mode, let’s take a closer look at some key levels as we look at how one might react to various scenarios going forward.

October 7 Stock Market Preview: The slow grind higher continues, with SPX falling shy of Friday’s high by barely a point. IWM made a new post-April high and QQQ almost reached 610. As upside targets get checked off, what are the most likely possibilities looking ahead? We also saw the VIX make a higher low and higher high despite the red candle today..

October 6 Stock Market Preview: IWM saw quick fulfillment of our bullish warning issued Thursday, with IWM almost reaching the 250 mark. The VIX continues to show divergent behavior, ignoring the rallying indices, and we see some other possible signs of trouble ahead, even if only temporary. What’s next?

October 3 Stock Market Preview: VIX divergences are building as indices push even higher, approaching yet another key potential resistance area. IWM is signaling we may yet see more upside ahead, but we want to be cautious about the possible short-lived nature of new highs from here without another pullback.

October 2 Stock Market Preview: Indices started out lower today, but what bull doesn’t love a gap down to buy? By the end of the day, indices were higher. We still see the VIX holding tightly around 16 and we also see negative divergence from IWM, which has yet to overcome the daily Hull Moving Average as the other indices have. IWM net GEX is also negative. Will IWM become a late bloomer in this rebound rally or is it flashing a warning sign?

October 1 Stock Market Preview: We begin the first day of trading in Q4 2025 Wednesday, and the markets are at an interesting spot. Indices bucked the stats for today, closing positive, the 38.7% probability mentioned yesterday. SPX and QQQ give mixed signals, and the VIX seems to be issuing a warning. The government is very likely to shut down at midnight, roughly an hour before you’ll receive this newsletter. What happens next?

September 30 Stock Market Preview: We saw the anticipated tag of the Hull Moving Average at the open today, with all indices rejecting this test. IWM sees GEX continue slightly toward the bearish side, while the VIX flips to a 2-hour and 4-hour buy (according to the Hull). With a looming government shutdown as a possibility this week, which pathways do we see as most likely?

September 26 Stock Market Preview: QQQ fulfilled our GEX-predicted tag of 590 today, and the VIX almost reached 18, both serving as great confirmation that the signals we’re seeing are valid. SPX dipped into negative GEX territory for the first time in several weeks, but an argument can be made that a rebound is imminent. What scenarios lie ahead since we saw IWM and QQQ reach initial downside targets before Friday?

September 26 Stock Market Preview: QQQ fulfilled our GEX-predicted tag of 590 today, and the VIX almost reached 18, both serving as great confirmation that the signals we’re seeing are valid. SPX dipped into negative GEX territory for the first time in several weeks, but an argument can be made that a rebound is imminent. What scenarios lie ahead since we saw IWM and QQQ reach initial downside targets before Friday?

September 25 Stock Market Preview: Indices saw follow-through to the downside today, though the VIX was also curiously lower. As we enter the final 4 trading days of September, let’s take a look at what GEX and our charts are saying about the likely outcomes, including the JPM collar (short calls) at 6505 set to expire Tuesday.

September 24 Stock Market Preview: Seeing any downside seems downright miraculous these days, so even today’s modest intraday decline is worth noting. Indices (except IWM) lost key Hull Moving Average support into the close, and QQQ flipped to negative GEX. Let’s take a look at how the current move might play out as we enter the back half of the week that we warned was seasonally bearish (on average).

September 23 Stock Market Preview: Indices are quickly approaching the next upside targets following completion of last week’s OpEx, and the VIX continues moving higher, introducing a big red flag in a week of very little economic data. With Powell speaking tomorrow at 12:35 AM ET and a potential looming government shutdown, we still have excuses ahead for possibly volatile moves during a seasonally bearish week.

September 22 Stock Market Preview: Indices are approaching “stretch” upside targets in the near-term, with the Keltner channels and Hull Moving Average showing strong momentum higher. When will we see a reversal?

September 19 Stock Market Preview: With OpEx and Quad Witching only hours away, I’m reminded of Newton’s Third Law Of Motion, which says “every action has an equal and opposite reaction.” Let’s dive deep into philosophy and a look at the GEX picture for Friday.

September 18 Stock Market Preview: GEX gave us a good preview of the ranges experienced today across the board, particularly on IWM, though closing prices showed little change for the day, and the VIX lower. Odds appear to be increasing for a pullback sometime soon as the VIX is still in an area of support while IWM may have made a short-term top today. What comes next?

September 17 Stock Market Preview: We saw more upside for the VIX today, also overcoming the key 9-period weekly SMA. With FOMC and VIX Expiration tomorrow, we are on watch for a possible acceleration toward a short-term top or a reversal lower continuing from here, either way, setting up a possible buying opportunity for the next more sustained move higher.

Indices pushed higher today, though divergences are building: IWM underperforming, the VIX staying strong, and GEX reaching Intensity Gauge extremes (one of our tools). What can we expect heading into Wednesday and then quad witching just beyond that?

Many signs point to general continued strength amongst indices, though IWM and the VIX may be signaling that a period of weakness is imminent before the trend continues higher. With FOMC and VIX expiration Wednesday, and quad witching Friday, how realistic is it that we see a pullback?

September 12 Market Preview: The SPX magnet of 6600 remains, almost being tagged today. IWM saw a bullish move to the big GEX cluster at 240, though the VIX printed a higher low today, marking a divergence. With OpEx next week, where do we think we go from here?

September 11 Market Preview: September 11 has by and large been a positive day for markets since 2001, but with CPI being reported premarket, will we start the cash session with a gap down or gap up? Let’s take a look at where the indices closed as well as some divergent signals from the VIX today.