IWM, QQQ Diverge: April 27 Stock Market Preview
April 27 Stock Market Preview: IWM hasn’t made a new high in days, meanwhile, the “story stock” favorite QQQ is finally breaking away to the upside. Is this a case of the dumb money being late for the final gasp of this phase of the latest rally, or is QQQ acting as a forward indicator?
SPX: Pullback Now Or Later? April 24 Stock Market Preview
April 24 Stock Market Preview: SPX almost reached 7150, beating the 4/17 high intraday by 0.26 points. The intraday reversal was pretty impressive, dropping 101 points from high to low before rebounding. The VIX almost hit the initial 22 target we’ve mentioned as a first upside target before fading back to 19. What’s next?
SPX Retesting Resistance: April 23 Stock Market Preview
April 23 Stock Market Preview: Indices put in a solid up day Wednesday, retesting the HMA from below on the daily charts. The VIX appears to be basing while indices are pressing against resistance, what could go wrong? Not so fast- let’s look at the possibility of a modest additional push higher prior to a deeper correction as we consider both directions.
SPX Loses Key Level: April 22 Stock Market Preview
April 22 Stock Market Preview: Today’s modest decline may be the beginning of at least an initial pullback following the record rally to new highs. Where might this drop take us? Let’s take a look at the GEX picture and the VIX heading into Wednesday.
SPX: Pushing On A String? April 21 Stock Market Preview
April 21 Stock Market Preview: Both IWM and the VIX were up today, while SPX and QQQ were down. Let’s take a look at some conflicting signals that may have value depending on the timeframe being considered. Could we see some choppy action into the end of May, then a drop? Let’s take a look at what the current GEX picture has to say.
Extremes Into The Beginning Of The May OpEx Cycle? April 20 Stock Market Preview
April 20 Stock Market Preview: Divergences continue to build as markets reached extreme territory on Friday. As we enter the first week of the new OpEx cycle leading into May, let’s look at probabilities heading into April 20-24.
Imminent Pivot Into OpEx? April 17 Stock Market Preview
April 17 Stock Market Preview: We’re approaching OpEx Friday with the VIX crossing above the HMA for the first time since March 30, and we also see some other interesting divergences that we’ll discuss in tonight’s newsletter.
New Highs For SPX, Lower High For DJIA? April 16 Stock Market Preview
April 16 Stock Market Preview: SPX and QQQ made new all-time highs today, but DIA and IWM negatively diverged, not being able to make new highs. The contrast with DIA is particularly stark. At the same time, SPX net GEX reached an impressive extreme at over 3.3B by the market close. Can we get a pullback before the week is over?
SPX Tackles Extreme Upside Targets: April 15 Stock Market Preview
April 15 Stock Market Preview: Tuesday saw continuation toward the stretch high targets identified early in the week, albeit without a meaningful pullback beforehand. Are indices setting up for a volatile next few days? Some signs point to a possible imminent retracement.
Approaching A VIX Expiration Pivot?April 14 Stock Market Preview
April 14 Stock Market Preview: Bulls powered higher Monday after the premarket low, leaving gap fill believers in the dust. With VIX monthly options expiration approaching Wednesday, and most major indices in or near their upper Dealer Cluster zones, can we get to a point soon where a larger drop materializes, or is it candy canes and roses from here on out?
Buy The SPX Dip, Or Rebound Dead? April 13 Stock Market Preview
April 13 Stock Market Preview: Bulls have done serious damage to the bears case for lower lows, but we see stretched conditions across the indices, potentially suggesting at least a corrective drop before the rebound continues. Could this also be a chance for bears to show that this move has been one big fakeout? Let’s discuss.
More Pain For SPX Bears? April 10 Stock Market Preview
April 10 Stock Market Preview: The VIX continued melting down today, though we see outsized option volume up to the 60 strike. Meanwhile, indices printed higher closing GEX levels as well as higher prices, pressing into their respective upper Dealer Cluster zones. While the picture currently looks positive, can we get a deeper pullback soon?
SPX In Rare Territory: April 9 Stock Market Preview
April 9 Stock Market Preview: All of the “heavy lifting” happened overnight, with the cash session actually seeing consistent, modest selling for much of the day. No surprise, given the size of the gap up. The VIX is at key weekly support and much of the gap for indices still exists. What are we seeing for tomorrow?
Temp Cease Fire: Fakeout Or Breakout? April 8 Stock Market Preview
April 8 Stock Market Preview: We saw the anticipated pullback today, which stopped just shy of the initial targets mentioned in yesterday’s newsletter before the announcement of an Iran ceasefire sent markets soaring after hours. With a big gap up anticipated Wednesday, what levels are we watching?
Threatening The Downtrend Line: April 7 Stock Market Preview
April 7 Stock Market Preview: Indices didn’t change much today, but they’re holding onto gains from late last week. The VIX is testing the weekly 9-SMA after failing to hold the weekly HMA last week for the first time since January 4, so perhaps the market is turning up. Smooth sailing from here? Not so fast..Let’s look more closely.
VIX Drop: Bullish For SPX? April 6 Stock Market Preview
April 6 Stock Market Preview: Indices were able to hold most of the gains from the late-week rally last week, painting a picture of several more bullish possible outcomes relative to the last several weeks. The VIX closed below the weekly HMA for the first time since January 4, also a potentially bullish signal. What risks remain to the idea of a continued bounce?
SPX Inflection Point Near: April 2 Stock Market Preview
April 2 Stock Market Preview: Indices are reaching an important inflection point, as is the VIX. The next move has potential to define the likelihood of new lows versus continuation much higher. What factors may influence the next move?
Bottom Is In- Or April Fools? April 1st Stock Market Preview
April 1 Stock Market Preview: We got the anticipated bounce Tuesday, putting the “Turnaround” in “Turnaround Tuesday.” But is today’s rally a sign of a lasting bottom, or did we get the shorts out of the way for a faster move down to new lows? Let’s see who ends up looking like the fool on April Fools..Read on for further discussion.
Relief Rally Vs Bottom? March 31 Stock Market Preview
March 31 Stock Market Preview: The last day of the 1st quarter of 2026 is just ahead, and we see the selloff seemingly without end. Despite continued weak price action, GEX improved across the board for major indices today, so what do we make of this divergence? Let’s take a look at the full picture.
Looking For An SPX Bounce: March 30 Stock Market Preview
March 30 Stock Market Preview: Indices achieved new price lows last week for 2026, reaching areas not seen since last Summer, though IWM continues to diverge positively. The VIX is displaying a pattern that continues to raise concerns, though we may be near an immediate market bounce that deserves further discussion.