Initial Downside Targets Reached: September 26 Stock Market Preview
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Initial Downside Targets Reached: September 26 Stock Market Preview

September 26 Stock Market Preview: QQQ fulfilled our GEX-predicted tag of 590 today, and the VIX almost reached 18, both serving as great confirmation that the signals we’re seeing are valid. SPX dipped into negative GEX territory for the first time in several weeks, but an argument can be made that a rebound is imminent. What scenarios lie ahead since we saw IWM and QQQ reach initial downside targets before Friday?

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JPM 6505 Short Call In Play? September 25 Stock Market Preview
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JPM 6505 Short Call In Play? September 25 Stock Market Preview

September 25 Stock Market Preview: Indices saw follow-through to the downside today, though the VIX was also curiously lower. As we enter the final 4 trading days of September, let’s take a look at what GEX and our charts are saying about the likely outcomes, including the JPM collar (short calls) at 6505 set to expire Tuesday.

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A Hint Of Red? September 24 Stock Market Preview
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A Hint Of Red? September 24 Stock Market Preview

September 24 Stock Market Preview: Seeing any downside seems downright miraculous these days, so even today’s modest intraday decline is worth noting. Indices (except IWM) lost key Hull Moving Average support into the close, and QQQ flipped to negative GEX. Let’s take a look at how the current move might play out as we enter the back half of the week that we warned was seasonally bearish (on average).

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Powell, Gov’t Shutdown, Rising VIX..Does It Matter? September 23 Stock Market Preview
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Powell, Gov’t Shutdown, Rising VIX..Does It Matter? September 23 Stock Market Preview

September 23 Stock Market Preview: Indices are quickly approaching the next upside targets following completion of last week’s OpEx, and the VIX continues moving higher, introducing a big red flag in a week of very little economic data. With Powell speaking tomorrow at 12:35 AM ET and a potential looming government shutdown, we still have excuses ahead for possibly volatile moves during a seasonally bearish week.

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Moving On Toward OpEx: September 18 Stock Market Preview
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Moving On Toward OpEx: September 18 Stock Market Preview

September 18 Stock Market Preview: GEX gave us a good preview of the ranges experienced today across the board, particularly on IWM, though closing prices showed little change for the day, and the VIX lower. Odds appear to be increasing for a pullback sometime soon as the VIX is still in an area of support while IWM may have made a short-term top today. What comes next?

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FOMC And Monthly VIX Expiration: September 17 Stock Market Preview
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FOMC And Monthly VIX Expiration: September 17 Stock Market Preview

September 17 Stock Market Preview: We saw more upside for the VIX today, also overcoming the key 9-period weekly SMA. With FOMC and VIX Expiration tomorrow, we are on watch for a possible acceleration toward a short-term top or a reversal lower continuing from here, either way, setting up a possible buying opportunity for the next more sustained move higher.

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Warning Signs From IWM Entering OpEx: September 15 Stock Market Preview
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Warning Signs From IWM Entering OpEx: September 15 Stock Market Preview

Many signs point to general continued strength amongst indices, though IWM and the VIX may be signaling that a period of weakness is imminent before the trend continues higher. With FOMC and VIX expiration Wednesday, and quad witching Friday, how realistic is it that we see a pullback?

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Divergences Creeping In? September 10 Stock Market Preview
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Divergences Creeping In? September 10 Stock Market Preview

September 10 Market Preview: Indices moved higher to close the day as the VIX dropped back to 15. VIX:VVIX divergence (VVIX was positive) and IWM showing weakness are possible warnings as we head into PPI in the morning. Will SPX and QQQ yet again reject the Hull Moving Average on the weekly charts?

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Flipping Short-Term Bullish: September 9 Stock Market Preview
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Flipping Short-Term Bullish: September 9 Stock Market Preview

September 9 Market Preview: GEX shifted more positively for indices as QQQ and SPX also hold above the daily Hull Moving Average. Weekly resistance has held so far at the weekly Hull, but will it hold on another attempt higher? Today we look at the VIX, IWM, and SPX as we consider the big picture.

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The Key To The Future Rests Upon…IWM? September 3 Stock Market Preview
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The Key To The Future Rests Upon…IWM? September 3 Stock Market Preview

The VIX approached 20 today, a test we’ve anticipated in the recent past as we saw key VIX technical levels conquered recently. Despite the red ink spread across indices today, let’s look at some details that paint more of a mixed picture, with QQQ appearing the most bearish and IWM appearing to be the most bullish.

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Weekly Resistance Still Holding: September 2 Stock Market Preview
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Weekly Resistance Still Holding: September 2 Stock Market Preview

September 2nd Stock Market Preview: Indices have rejected from the approximate area of the weekly Hull Moving Average, with GEX also shifting more negatively. The VIX remains on a Hull Moving Average buy signal, and volume is persistent at much higher strikes. Are we at the doorstep of a market decline or will we a continued push higher?

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6500 Tagged! Now What? August 29 Market Preview
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6500 Tagged! Now What? August 29 Market Preview

August 29 market preview: The last trading day of August is upon us, with indices approaching the weekly Hull Moving Average and SPX finally tagging 6500 today. With the VIX almost touching 14 today, we are nearing an inflection point where a decision will be made: The VIX will either fall into the channel established between 12-13 like May-July 2024, or we will see a rebound from this area. What is likely to happen next?

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