One More Pump?
We are in the thick of earnings reports for big tech names, with MSFT and META (“the Ms”) reporting after hours today. Tomorrow evening we have AMZN and AAPL (“The A’s”) reporting. Are we really going to chop sideways until Friday?
Go Time: Big Tech Earnings
GOOG, SNAP, and AMD have now reported, with GOOG and (amazingly) SNAP both going up quite a bit after hours and AMD dropping. What do the indices look like heading into tomorrow?
Seasonality Revisited & More
The market seems to be taking a pause prior to big tech earnings this week, which is to be expected, but in today’s newsletter, we look at potential clues that may point toward the post-earnings resolution for the market.
Divergences & Potential Opportunities
Friday was highly unusual in terms of recent history, with SPY down and QQQ remaining in an uptrend with a green day. Is this a bad sign for big earnings reports coming up this week or just another trap?
Cracks Emerge…Pre-Earnings?
Cracks emerge…RIght before earnings. Sustainable, or yet another Lucy pulling the football bear trap?
Lower We Go! How Long, How Far?
We finally saw the 5762 SPX we’ve been waiting for, and the VIX spiked to 20. Is this the end of the pullback or just the beginning?
Decision Time Is Near
Another gap down today, but the cash session was positive from the opening price. The VIX saw unusual volume at 13 as well. Is this the beginning of the next leg higher, or a trap for early dip buyers?
Earnings Season Jitters?
With certain key levels breached, SPX’s bullish tilt is at risk of failing, but we still managed to find good setups for the intraday and longer dated time frames.
Onward & Upward- For Now
GEX once again led us toward an accurate picture of how we would end with week, with SPX falling short of 5900, with 5875 being the largest GEX cluster Friday (the high was 5878). Will we finally hit it this week, and what comes next?
5900: So Close, I Can Almost Touch It
5900 is back in focus with SPX, a level we first identified as a high-probability target on Oct. 14. But do we see it hit now or later?
5900: SO Close, I Can Almost Touch It
5900 is back in focus with SPX, a level we first identified as a high-probability target on Oct. 14. But do we see it hit now or later?
VIX Expiration Approaches: What’s Next?
Monthly VIX options expire tomorrow morning premarket, with a lot of negative GEX at 21 and positive GEX at 22 rolling off. What happens next?
Approaching Earnings…And Resistance
The market has climbed the proverbial wall of worry, but with monthly option expiration coming this Friday, now we get to see if big players plan to catch anyone offsides as we approach strong resistance and a VIX with a positively shifting GEX structure.
Nearing An Inflection Point
The market has climbed the proverbial wall of worry, but with monthly option expiration coming this Friday, now we get to see if big players plan to catch anyone offsides as we approach strong resistance and a VIX with a positively shifting GEX structure.
Waiting For Friday?
The market couldn't decide what to do today, so we look toward a possible Friday move to finish off a positive week.
Upside Path Chosen. Permanent Pathway Or Pyrrhic Victory?
CPI and Jobless Claims have potential to ignite a rally to upper Keltner resistance, but we might also see a pullback soon, perhaps entirely premarket. We can't predict exact timing, so we need to have an eye toward caution despite the bullish move.
FOMC Blast-off Or Blues?
GEX didn't lead us astray today, and we also got the pop we were looking for after yesterday's drop. With a conga line of Fed speakers tomorrow and FOMC minutes, what's next? Today may have given us some clues.
Today A Drop Tomorrow A Pop?
We call this Week Of The Living Fed, with too many Fed speakers and a couple of important data points later in the week (CPI and PPI) as well as some bond auctions. How will the markets react?
Momentum Versus Seasonality: Who Wins?
Friday's momentum may continue a bit more, but how far? Potentially not much..
Foolish Hedging Or A Sign Of Impending Doom?
Volatility continues to rise, and we have jobless claims in the morning. But we do see some bullish potential in certain corners of the market.